Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 26, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
Markets
28 words · 13 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear 3+ times | Yes | 59%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum / Massie | Yes | 56%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 49%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Putin / Zelenskyy | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 6+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Delcy / Rodriguez | Yes | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Qatar | Yes | 41%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Job 23+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epic Fury | Yes | 37%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | 35%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut down | Yes | 34%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Yes | 33%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 26%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Green New Scam | No | 66%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 50%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | 50%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | No | 50%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 49%n=181 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | No | 47%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Biden / Obama 10+ times | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Voter ID | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | No | 38%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | No | 33%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Migrant Crime | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas / Hezbollah | No | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomeini | No | 25%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 24%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 8%n=318 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-cabinet-meeting-on-march-26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP