Will Donald Trump say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crypto / Bitcoin” at 56 of 531 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (11%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 4% (n=531, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 0 times.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Crypto / Bitcoin
- Probability
- 4% · n=531
- Settled
- 56/531 (11%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 2 | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 12 | |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 10 | |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Void (did not qualify) | – | |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crypto / Bitcoin” at 56 of 531 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (11%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crypto / Bitcoin” next time?
- 4%, from settlement history (n=531). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crypto / Bitcoin’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bitcoin-or-crypto (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP