Donald Trump: Rally #2, Aug 24, 2026
At the rally on Aug 24, 2026, Donald Trump said 8 of the 27 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 27 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
27 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 27 of 27- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminum / Smelter | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsement | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 46%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 39%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 65%n=336 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 47%n=218 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 43%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=211 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=163 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=229 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=325 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=229 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 8%n=486 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…I will tell you that I'm fully aware of the Oklahoma Primary Aluminum plant. And I can say this: This country desperately needs aluminum. I…
…schools and safer communities. As your next governor, he'll fight for Oklahoma's farmers and ranchers, which I have always done. I think I got 99…
…be the next Governor of Oklahoma. Mike has my complete and total endorsement. He spent many years upholding Oklahoma values in the State senate, one…
…grow. He needs exact—everything about the economy, in terms of creating jobs, cutting taxes, and, above all, putting America first, which is what I've done.
But will defend your amazing oil and gas workers, uphold law and order, and protect our cherished Second Amendment. Mike is going to do all…
…I know to be a total RINO. He donated to Sleepy Joe Biden and the totally corrupt and anti-American Lincoln Project, which is one of…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-08-24:rally-tele-mike-mazzei · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-08-24:rally-tele-mike-mazzei · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP