Will Donald Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Barack Hussein Obama” at 121 of 194 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2024 (62%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=194, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.

65%from settlement history only · n=194Next: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
90¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=barack%20hussein%20obama

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Barack Hussein Obama

Probability
65% · n=194
Settled
121/194 (62%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

4 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker31:08In transcript

under Barack Hussein Obama. And what we did is I knew it was going to go up a little bit. Small price to pay, but…

Donald Trumpspeaker42:31In transcript

…exports. You remember, did you ever hear of a man named Barack Hussein Obama? As I Barack Hussein Obama, you ever hear of him? Right.…

Every match in the transcript

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

4 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker38:04In transcript

…you one more. Has anybody ever heard of a gentleman named Barack Hussein Obama? Well, Barack Hussein Obama said, "We will never be a manufacturing…

Donald Trumpspeaker44:14In transcript

terminated Barack Hussein Obama's JCPOA or the Iran nuclear deal as some people call it, which was a road to a nuclear weapon for Iran.…

Every match in the transcript

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

6 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker35:04In transcript

…you know, remember, did you ever hear of a man named Barack Hussein Obama? Barack Barack Hussein Obama. Barack Hussein Obama. Everyone's calling him Barack…

Every match in the transcript

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 31, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes16
Oct 31, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes16
Oct 25, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes15
Oct 23, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes4
Oct 22, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes4
Oct 21, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes6
Oct 18, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes1
Oct 17, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 16, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 13, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 12, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 11, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 9, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 7, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Oct 5, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 4, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes1
Oct 3, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 2, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Oct 1, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketYes2
Sep 30, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes20
Sep 30, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes4
Sep 27, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 11 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 20, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes1
Sep 16, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Sep 13, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes2
Sep 10, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketNo0
Sep 10, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Sep 10, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 10, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes2
Sep 8, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Sep 6, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 6, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 31, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes5
Aug 30, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 30, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 30, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Aug 25, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Aug 24, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Aug 23, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 23, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 21, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketNo0
Aug 21, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Aug 16, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketYes2
Aug 16, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes2
Aug 14, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketYes2
Aug 14, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes2
Aug 13, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Aug 11, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Aug 10, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Aug 10, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Aug 9, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketYes2
Aug 9, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes3
Aug 7, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo0
Aug 6, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaPolymarketNo0
Aug 6, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2026Barack Hussein ObamaKalshiYes1

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Barack Hussein Obama” at 121 of 194 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2024 (62%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Barack Hussein Obama” next time?
65%, from settlement history (n=194). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Barack Hussein Obama’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/barack-hussein-obama (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=barack%20hussein%20obama · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP