Donald Trump: Weekly window, Aug 16, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (August 10 - August 16)
Coverage
8 known appearances6 of 8 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 10, 2026 to Aug 16, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Wisconsin Republican Congressional Candidate Michael Alfonso Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Childhood Vaccine Schedule Recommendations and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Real America's Voice interview transcript pending
- Aug 11, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 13, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 14, 2026 Remarks on Law Enforcement in Garden City, New York Official transcript
- Aug 14, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
Markets
15 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 8 of 8- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey / Graham | Yes | 12 | 13 | ✓ | 61%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| You Know What / You Know Who | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kevin / Warsh | Yes | 3 | 5 | ✓ | 48%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 71%n=151 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 69%n=207 from settlement history | – |
| Pearl Harbor | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Institution / Mental Institute | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 51%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | – | 38%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | – | 0 | – | 59%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| Who Are You | No | – | 0 | – | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Justice | No | – | 0 | – | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Big Trouble | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Compost | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abraham Accords | No | – | 0 | – | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-august-10-august-16-20260807162748299 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP