Donald Trump: Rally #2, Aug 10, 2026
At the rally on Aug 10, 2026, Donald Trump said 7 of the 28 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 28 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
28 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 28 of 28- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Communist / Communism | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 49%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 54%n=206 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 61%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 50%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 57%n=130 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 42%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 40%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 72%n=327 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 68%n=122 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=207 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=224 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=151 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=316 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=162 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=155 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=221 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 8%n=476 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
But perhaps—[ inaudible ]—of all, as the grandson of a refugee from communist Cuba, Michael will fight against the—I call them "Dumocrats." It's just an—it's…
…history of our country, 15 months where nobody—and this is done by Democrat—the Democrat people they were the ones on this board or this group…
…Michael is an "America first" patriot who's—who has my complete and total endorsement, 100 percent, as well as the endorsement of Speaker Mike Johnson and…
…and slash job-killing regulation in Wisconsin. [ Inaudible ]—have, bringing record numbers in already, and Wisconsin small businesses and farmers, including your world-famous dairy farmers.
But there's an incredibly important primary election tomorrow in your State. If you haven't already gone out and voted, make sure that you get out…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-08-10:rally-tele-michael-alfonso · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-08-10:rally-tele-michael-alfonso · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP