Donald Trump: Weekly window, Aug 30, 2026

By Aug 30Weekly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

9 known appearances
5 of 9 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

16 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 5 of 5

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Transgender Yes44✓71%n=218 from settlement history–
God Yes34✓64%n=10 from settlement history–
Ballroom Yes22✓57%n=105 from settlement history–
America First Yes22✓41%n=80 from settlement history–
Karoline / Leavitt Yes11✓33%n=27 from settlement history–
Incompetent Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Through The Roof No–0–67%n=13 from settlement history–
Barack Hussein Obama No–0–66%n=160 from settlement history–
World War No–0–56%n=13 from settlement history–
Boom / Booming No–0–56%n=5 from settlement history–
Who Are You No–1–54%n=4 from settlement history–
Maduro No–0–53%n=65 from settlement history–
Hunter No–0–51%n=7 from settlement history–
Human Printer No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Little Rocket Man No–0–45%n=2 from settlement history–
Six Seven No–0–43%n=62 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-august-24-august-30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP