Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 6, 2026

By Sep 6Weekly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

6 known appearances
4 of 6 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

23 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 8 of 8

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Tremendous Yes2728✓48%n=2 from settlement history–
Egg Yes56✓69%n=35 from settlement history–
Ballroom Yes55✓61%n=107 from settlement history–
Transgender Yes33✓72%n=225 from settlement history–
Through The Roof Yes11✓59%n=14 from settlement history–
11,888 Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Boom / Booming Yes11✓47%n=6 from settlement history–
America First Yes11✓46%n=85 from settlement history–
Who Are You Yes–0–47%n=5 from settlement history–
God No–1–69%n=11 from settlement history–
Barack Hussein Obama No–0–60%n=164 from settlement history–
Incompetent No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Graffiti No–0–50%n=2 from settlement history–
Bye Bye No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Droneport No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Fever / Flu No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Migrant Criminal No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Mom / Mommy No–1––new new word, no probability yet–
Warrior No–0–49%n=4 from settlement history–
Milk No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Karoline / Leavitt No–0–42%n=29 from settlement history–
Six Seven No–0–41%n=63 from settlement history–
Peanut No–0–30%n=21 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-august-31-september-6 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP