Donald Trump: Weekly window, Aug 23, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (August 17 - August 23)
Coverage
6 known appearances5 of 6 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 17, 2026 to Aug 23, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Aug 17, 2026 Remarks During a Greeting With California State Parks Lifeguard Ryder Williams and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 19, 2026 Remarks on the Construction of the South Lawn Helipad and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 19, 2026 Remarks in a Meeting With Technology Leaders and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 20, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks in the White House Rose Garden transcript pending
- Aug 21, 2026 Remarks at a Campaign Rally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina Official transcript
- Aug 21, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
Markets
17 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballroom | Yes | 23 | 30 | ✓ | 53%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 70%n=213 from settlement history | – |
| Weather / Rain | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| God | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 57%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Alaska | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| America First | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 33%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Pearl Harbor | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 63%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Through The Roof | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 63%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Institution / Mental Institute | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Who Are You | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 42%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 41%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | – | 0 | – | 72%n=156 from settlement history | – |
| Assassin / Assassination | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| No No No | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Uber | No | – | 0 | – | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-august-17-august-23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP