Will Zohran Mamdani say “Crisis”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Crisis” at 27 of 53 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (51%), most recently on Aug 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=53, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

49%from settlement history only · n=53counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Crisis

Probability
49% · n=53
Settled
27/53 (51%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…family, for his loved ones, for all of his colleagues across the crisis management system and, frankly, for our entire city. May he rest in…

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 57 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 8, 2026CrisisKalshiYes2
Aug 8, 2026CrisisKalshiYes2
Jun 28, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jun 22, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jun 22, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jun 13, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Jun 12, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Jun 11, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026CrisisKalshiYes4
Jun 9, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jun 9, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jun 6, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Jun 5, 2026CrisisKalshiYes2
Jun 4, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
May 29, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
May 28, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
May 27, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
May 20, 2026CrisisKalshiYes1
May 19, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
May 18, 2026CrisisKalshiNo2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
May 18, 2026CrisisKalshiYes2
May 13, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
May 13, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
May 12, 2026CrisisKalshiYes8
May 8, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Apr 24, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026CrisisKalshiYes2
Apr 12, 2026CrisisKalshiYes1
Apr 12, 2026CrisisKalshiYes4
Apr 8, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Apr 7, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jan 30, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jan 28, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jan 27, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 27, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Jan 26, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 25, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 24, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 23, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 22, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 21, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jan 20, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 19, 2026CrisisKalshiYes2
Jan 19, 2026CrisisKalshiNo2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jan 19, 2026CrisisKalshiNo2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jan 16, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 16, 2026CrisisKalshiYes–
Jan 15, 2026CrisisPolymarketNo0
Jan 15, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Jan 14, 2026CrisisKalshiNo0
Jan 13, 2026CrisisPolymarketNo–
Jan 13, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 7, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–
Jan 6, 2026CrisisKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Crisis”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Crisis” at 27 of 53 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (51%), most recently on Aug 8, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Crisis” next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=53). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Crisis’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/crisis (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=crisis · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP