Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 4, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
18 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 72%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 62%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 57%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | Yes | 47%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Wemby / Wembanyama | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Subway / Bus | Yes | 18%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 71%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 67%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 54%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 38%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 37%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 28%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 23%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 20%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 11%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 10%n=34 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP