Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 19, 2026
In remarks on Jan 19, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 9 of the 27 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 20 of 27 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
27 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 20 of 27
Kalshibacktest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 20 | 58 | ✓ | 70%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 6 | 8 | ✓ | 43%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 45%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✗ | 22%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Race / Racism / Racist | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Africa / African | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Morocco / Moroccan | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soccer | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working People / Working Class | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 28%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 1 | 11 | ✗ | 51%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 1 | 2 | ✗ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Letitia / James | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ticket | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 28%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| MLK / Martin Luther King | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chuck / Schumer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inequality / Equality | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / MTA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…of those. We are together here to announce the reactivation of Just Home, a first of its kind housing initiative that promises to transform the…
…project's virtues, because there are many. It is comprised of 100 percent affordable housing. It will create 83 apartments on this campus, apartments which will…
…the course of the campaign that we wanted to build 200,000 truly affordable homes over the next 10 years. We absolutely intend to fulfill that.
…this time. What I can tell you, however, is that the housing crisis is going to take all of us. It's going to take the…
…city that each and every New Yorker can afford, no matter their race, their religion, where they were born, [and] where they come from. Thank…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-19:remarks-7fefdf · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-19:remarks-7fefdf · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP