Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Apr 25, 2026
In remarks on Apr 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 8 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 15 of 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 16- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 13 | 25 | ✓ | 62%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | 13 | 21 | ✓ | 45%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 11 | 19 | ✓ | 48%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 8 | 22 | ✓ | 50%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Pothole | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | Yes | 3 | 6 | ✓ | 42%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 53%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 40%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 1 | 2 | ✗ | 24%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ken / Griffin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New Era | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 27%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 25%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…delivering universal childcare [and] about making the most expensive city in America affordable for working class people who help keep it running. That trust starts…
…what they build their lives around. And since the pandemic, we've seen grocery store prices increase, and they haven't come back down. And we're talking…
…would transform the lives of New Yorkers, delivering a pathway to universal childcare on day eight, we've also filled in 102,000 potholes in that same…
…their opinions." And in many ways, one of the few things the president and I have in common is that we are both New Yorkers.…
When I say that I care about the cost of living, I care about it for everyone, for tenants, for landlords–
…childcare could never be done. On day eight, I stood next to Governor Hochul; we announced $1.2 billion in funding that will now, for the…
…be abolished. It's a modern creation. Our country has had answers to immigration long before we had ICE. And we also see that these kinds…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-04-25:remarks-4daa02 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-04-25:remarks-4daa02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP