Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 65%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 47%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 13%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 53%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 37%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 33%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| MLK / Martin Luther King | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 32%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Working People / Working Class | No | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 31%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 26%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 21%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / MTA | No | 16%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26FEB11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP