Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, May 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his housing press conference??
Markets
17 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 65%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 65%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 63%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 54%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 54%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 48%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 46%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Drug / Addiction | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 48%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 48%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Deed / Theft | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hantavirus | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | No | 45%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Ripoff / Rip Off | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 27%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 19%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP