Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Sep 16, 2026
Polymarket What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 68%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 55%n=126 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 42%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Health | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Heat / Weather | Yes | 26%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 23%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Community | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Family | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| School | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NYPD | No | 39%n=125 from settlement history | – |
| Budget | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 29%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 24%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 8%n=84 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mamdani-say-during-next-live-announcement-20260915 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP