Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Jan 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Bloomberg interview?
Markets
14 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 69%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | Yes | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 49%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 39%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | Yes | 34%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 30%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 28%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 33%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 31%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 24%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 23%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP