Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, May 27, 2026

Wed, May 27RemarksHistory onlyZohran Mamdani

Updated

Markets

14 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes69%n=70 from settlement history–
Five Borough Yes67%n=24 from settlement history–
Budget / Deficit Yes63%n=35 from settlement history–
Trump / President Yes52%n=58 from settlement history–
Albany Yes52%n=3 from settlement history–
Crisis Yes49%n=38 from settlement history–
Knicks / Mets / Yankees Yes35%n=7 from settlement history–
Economy / Economic No42%n=72 from settlement history–
NYPD No35%n=72 from settlement history–
Grocery No32%n=23 from settlement history–
New Era No26%n=26 from settlement history–
Muslim / Islam No26%n=4 from settlement history–
Israel / Israeli No13%n=8 from settlement history–
Billionaire No11%n=32 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP