Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, May 19, 2026
At the press conference on May 19, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 2 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 57%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 8 | ✓ | 70%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Teacher | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 41%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Hantavirus | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 18%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=29 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
We are just coming out of our budget deficit. But we do agree that time is time, and New Yorkers deserve a lot more of…
…we have extended 99,921 3-K and Pre-K offers to families across the five boroughs this year. I'm especially proud of the fact that we have…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-05-19:presser-349bc3 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-05-19:presser-349bc3 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP