Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Jan 27, 2026

Tue, Jan 27InterviewHistory onlyZohran Mamdani

Updated

Markets

12 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Home / Housing No77%n=19 from settlement history–
Inside / Indoors No59%n=2 from settlement history–
NYPD / FDNY No59%n=2 from settlement history–
Safe / Safer / Safety No58%n=18 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No53%n=8 from settlement history–
Remote No52%n=3 from settlement history–
Snow Day No39%n=3 from settlement history–
Hochul / Governor No37%n=13 from settlement history–
ICE / National Guard No32%n=21 from settlement history–
New Era No32%n=8 from settlement history–
Crisis No30%n=17 from settlement history–
Economy / Economic No28%n=26 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP