Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 27, 2026
In remarks on Jan 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 5 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside / Indoors | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Dangerous / Emergency | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 2 | 10 | ✓ | 58%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 27%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 75%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD / FDNY | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 45%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…discharges to ensure that people who have nowhere to go are kept indoors. We have opened up 10 new warming shelters since Friday. Last night,…
…for the 911 operators, who serve as the connective tissue of our emergency operations. But Code Blue alone is not enough in a cold this…
…homeless New Yorkers off the streets and into transitional housing like shelters, safe havens, and stabilized beds. I can also share today that since January…
…very much look forward to working together with them to deliver a new era for New York. Thank you very much. And now, Commissioner Goodwin.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-27:remarks-208e32 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-27:remarks-208e32 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP