Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Jan 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Zohran Mamdani say during The View?
Markets
12 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 69%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | 57%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Child Care / Daycare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 32%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 28%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 26%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Nurse | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 26%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / MTA | No | 17%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP