Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Sep 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 67%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 57%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 55%n=124 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 42%n=112 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 36%n=123 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 20%n=119 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 13%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Air Quality | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Giuliani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 32%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 23%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=82 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26SEP11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP