Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during the MLK Celebration?
Markets
13 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 49%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Working People / Working Class | No | 36%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Inequality / Equality | No | 34%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 33%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Race / Racism / Racist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump / President | No | 28%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 28%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Chuck / Schumer | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 26%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 24%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 20%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP