Zohran Mamdani
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 2,455 word markets on Zohran Mamdani’s appearances since 2025, on 349 different words; most reliably said: “Home / Housing” (32 of 35). Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 (18 words listed).
Next: Keynote ·
18 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi| Word | Aug 27remarks | Aug 29remarks | Aug 31remarks | Sep 1remarks | Sep 2remarks | Sep 3remarks | Sep 4remarks | Sep 10remarks | Sep 11remarks | Sep 15latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Not listed: Home / Housing, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Sep 15 remarks | – | 32/3591% | 75%n=35 from settlement history | 70¢ Kalshi |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 2 times: Safe / Safer / Safety, Aug 27 remarks, counts as said | Settled no: Safe / Safer / Safety, Aug 29 remarks | 1 time: Safe / Safer / Safety, Aug 31 remarks, counts as said | 4 times: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 1 remarks, counts as said | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 2 remarks | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 3 remarks | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 10 remarks | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 15 remarks | 8/1080% | 70/9574% | 69%n=94 from settlement history | 70¢ Kalshi |
| Tax | Not listed: Tax, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 15 remarks | – | 5/771% | 54%n=7 from settlement history | 58¢ Kalshi |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 29 remarks | 2 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 31 remarks, counts as said | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 1 remarks | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 2 remarks | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 3 remarks | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 10 remarks | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 11 remarks | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 15 remarks | 4/1040% | 87/13564% | 53%n=134 from settlement history | 82¢ Kalshi |
| Trump / President | 0 times: Trump / President, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: Trump / President, Aug 29 remarks | 0 times: Trump / President, Aug 31 remarks | 1 time: Trump / President, Sep 1 remarks, counts as said (our count 1 · the market settled no) | Settled no: Trump / President, Sep 2 remarks | Settled yes: Trump / President, Sep 3 remarks | Settled yes: Trump / President, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Trump / President, Sep 10 remarks | Settled yes: Trump / President, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: Trump / President, Sep 15 remarks | 5/1050% | 61/12350% | 48%n=122 from settlement history | 73¢ Kalshi |
| Wall Street | Not listed: Wall Street, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Wall Street, Sep 15 remarks | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 42¢ Kalshi |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: ICE, Sep 15 remarks | – | 6/1443% | 41%n=14 from settlement history | 44¢ Kalshi |
| Budget / Deficit | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Sep 15 remarks | – | 32/6748% | 37%n=66 from settlement history | 41¢ Kalshi |
| Midterm / Electionnew | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 15 remarks | – | – | 37%n=8 from settlement history | 44¢ Kalshi |
| NYPD | 0 times: NYPD, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: NYPD, Aug 29 remarks | 0 times: NYPD, Aug 31 remarks | 5 times: NYPD, Sep 1 remarks, counts as said | Settled no: NYPD, Sep 2 remarks | Settled yes: NYPD, Sep 3 remarks | Settled yes: NYPD, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: NYPD, Sep 10 remarks | Settled yes: NYPD, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: NYPD, Sep 15 remarks | 5/1050% | 47/13435% | 36%n=132 from settlement history | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 11 remarks | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 15 remarks | 0/10% | 9/2635% | 35%n=26 from settlement history | 27¢ Kalshi |
| Childcare / Child Care | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Sep 11 remarks | Settled no: Childcare / Child Care, Sep 15 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 51¢ Kalshi |
| Landlord / Tenant | 0 times: Landlord / Tenant, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: Landlord / Tenant, Aug 29 remarks | 0 times: Landlord / Tenant, Aug 31 remarks | 0 times: Landlord / Tenant, Sep 1 remarks | Settled no: Landlord / Tenant, Sep 2 remarks | Settled yes: Landlord / Tenant, Sep 3 remarks | Settled no: Landlord / Tenant, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Landlord / Tenant, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Landlord / Tenant, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Landlord / Tenant, Sep 15 remarks | 1/812% | 2/1020% | 27%n=10 from settlement history | 36¢ Kalshi |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 31 remarks | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 1 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 2 remarks | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 3 remarks | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 10 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 15 remarks | 3/933% | 6/3915% | 26%n=39 from settlement history | 58¢ Kalshi |
| Grocery | 0 times: Grocery, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: Grocery, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Grocery, Aug 31 remarks | 0 times: Grocery, Sep 1 remarks | Settled no: Grocery, Sep 2 remarks | Settled no: Grocery, Sep 3 remarks | Settled no: Grocery, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Grocery, Sep 10 remarks | Settled no: Grocery, Sep 11 remarks | Settled no: Grocery, Sep 15 remarks | 0/90% | 20/7029% | 24%n=68 from settlement history | 36¢ Kalshi |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | 0 times: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Aug 31 remarks | 0 times: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 1 remarks | Settled no: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 2 remarks | Settled no: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 3 remarks | Settled no: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Free Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 15 remarks | 0/70% | 8/4418% | 19%n=42 from settlement history | 22¢ Kalshi |
| Socialist / Socialism | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 27 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 31 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 1 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 2 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 3 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 15 remarks | – | 8/4020% | 18%n=39 from settlement history | 56¢ Kalshi |
| Billionaire | 0 times: Billionaire, Aug 27 remarks | Settled no: Billionaire, Aug 29 remarks | Not listed: Billionaire, Aug 31 remarks | 0 times: Billionaire, Sep 1 remarks | Settled no: Billionaire, Sep 2 remarks | Settled no: Billionaire, Sep 3 remarks | Settled no: Billionaire, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Billionaire, Sep 10 remarks | Settled no: Billionaire, Sep 11 remarks | Settled no: Billionaire, Sep 15 remarks | 0/90% | 4/944% | 10%n=92 from settlement history | 26¢ Kalshi |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–40 of 341, most settled first · page 1 of 5| Word | Sep 4remarks | Sep 10remarks | Sep 11remarks | Sep 14remarks | Sep 15remarks | Sep 16remarks | Oct 7remarks | Oct 8remarks | Oct 14remarks | Oct 20latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy / Economic | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Sep 10 remarks | Settled yes: Economy / Economic, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: Economy / Economic, Sep 14 remarks | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Sep 15 remarks | Settled yes: Economy / Economic, Sep 16 remarks | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Oct 7 remarks | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Oct 8 remarks | 5 times: Economy / Economic, Oct 14 remarks, counts as said | 0 times: Economy / Economic, Oct 20 remarks | 4/1040% | 40/12931% | 30%n=129 from settlement history |
| Governor / Hochul | Settled no: Governor / Hochul, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Governor / Hochul, Sep 10 remarks | Settled no: Governor / Hochul, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Governor / Hochul, Sep 14 remarks | Settled no: Governor / Hochul, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Governor / Hochul, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Governor / Hochul, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Governor / Hochul, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Governor / Hochul, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Governor / Hochul, Oct 20 remarks | 0/40% | 36/8940% | 30%n=87 from settlement history |
| Five Borough | Settled no: Five Borough, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Five Borough, Sep 10 remarks | Settled yes: Five Borough, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Five Borough, Sep 14 remarks | Settled no: Five Borough, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Five Borough, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Five Borough, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Five Borough, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Five Borough, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Five Borough, Oct 20 remarks | 1/425% | 54/7572% | 56%n=75 from settlement history |
| Crisis | Not listed: Crisis, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Oct 20 remarks | – | 27/5351% | 49%n=51 from settlement history |
| Childcare | Not listed: Childcare, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Childcare, Oct 20 remarks | – | 17/4439% | 30%n=42 from settlement history |
| New Era | Not listed: New Era, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: New Era, Oct 20 remarks | – | 7/3719% | 15%n=37 from settlement history |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 20 remarks | – | 2/346% | 14%n=34 from settlement history |
| World Cup | Not listed: World Cup, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: World Cup, Oct 20 remarks | – | 12/3336% | 39%n=31 from settlement history |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Trump, Oct 20 remarks | – | 7/3123% | 25%n=31 from settlement history |
| ICE / National Guard | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 20 remarks | – | 7/2627% | 28%n=26 from settlement history |
| Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 20 remarks | – | 12/2450% | 39%n=24 from settlement history |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Cleanup / Clean Up, Oct 20 remarks | – | 4/2317% | 21%n=23 from settlement history |
| Muslim / Islam | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Oct 20 remarks | – | 3/2313% | 18%n=23 from settlement history |
| Albany | Not listed: Albany, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Albany, Oct 20 remarks | – | 3/2015% | 16%n=20 from settlement history |
| Adams / Previous Administration | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Adams / Previous Administration, Oct 20 remarks | – | 4/1921% | 24%n=19 from settlement history |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Knicks / Mets / Yankees, Oct 20 remarks | – | 11/1669% | 65%n=16 from settlement history |
| Knicks | Not listed: Knicks, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Knicks, Oct 20 remarks | – | 6/1638% | 36%n=14 from settlement history |
| Landlord | Not listed: Landlord, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Landlord, Oct 20 remarks | – | 6/1638% | 40%n=16 from settlement history |
| Israel / Israelinever said | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 20 remarks | – | 0/160% | 13%n=16 from settlement history |
| Mental Health | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 20 remarks | – | 5/1533% | 30%n=15 from settlement history |
| Heat / Weather | Not listed: Heat / Weather, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Heat / Weather, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Heat / Weather, Sep 11 remarks | Settled no: Heat / Weather, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Heat / Weather, Sep 15 remarks | Settled yes: Heat / Weather, Sep 16 remarks | Settled no: Heat / Weather, Oct 7 remarks | Settled no: Heat / Weather, Oct 8 remarks | 0 times: Heat / Weather, Oct 14 remarks | 0 times: Heat / Weather, Oct 20 remarks | 1/617% | 2/1414% | 19%n=14 from settlement history |
| Working People / Working Class | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Working People / Working Class, Oct 20 remarks | – | 4/1233% | 34%n=12 from settlement history |
| Freeze / Freezing | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Oct 20 remarks | – | 2/1217% | 23%n=12 from settlement history |
| Family | Not listed: Family, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Family, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Family, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: Family, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Family, Sep 15 remarks | Settled no: Family, Sep 16 remarks | Settled yes: Family, Oct 7 remarks | Settled yes: Family, Oct 8 remarks | 2 times: Family, Oct 14 remarks, counts as said | 2 times: Family, Oct 20 remarks, counts as said | 5/683% | 8/1080% | 65%n=10 from settlement history |
| School | Not listed: School, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: School, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: School, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: School, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: School, Sep 15 remarks | Settled no: School, Sep 16 remarks | Settled yes: School, Oct 7 remarks | Settled yes: School, Oct 8 remarks | 2 times: School, Oct 14 remarks, counts as said | 1 time: School, Oct 20 remarks, counts as said | 5/683% | 8/1080% | 65%n=10 from settlement history |
| Housing | Not listed: Housing, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Oct 20 remarks | – | 5/1050% | 44%n=10 from settlement history |
| Snow | Not listed: Snow, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Snow, Oct 20 remarks | – | 5/1050% | 52%n=10 from settlement history |
| Property Tax | Not listed: Property Tax, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Property Tax, Oct 20 remarks | – | 3/1030% | 34%n=10 from settlement history |
| Budget | Not listed: Budget, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Budget, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Budget, Sep 11 remarks | Settled no: Budget, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Budget, Sep 15 remarks | Settled no: Budget, Sep 16 remarks | Settled no: Budget, Oct 7 remarks | Settled yes: Budget, Oct 8 remarks | 0 times: Budget, Oct 14 remarks | 0 times: Budget, Oct 20 remarks | 1/617% | 2/1020% | 24%n=10 from settlement history |
| Kathy / Hochul | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Kathy / Hochul, Oct 20 remarks | – | 1/1010% | 25%n=10 from settlement history |
| Muslim | Not listed: Muslim, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Muslim, Oct 20 remarks | – | 1/1010% | 26%n=10 from settlement history |
| Community | Not listed: Community, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Community, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Community, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: Community, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Community, Sep 15 remarks | Settled no: Community, Sep 16 remarks | Settled yes: Community, Oct 7 remarks | Settled yes: Community, Oct 8 remarks | 1 time: Community, Oct 14 remarks, counts as said | 20 times: Community, Oct 20 remarks, counts as said | 5/683% | 7/978% | 67%n=9 from settlement history |
| Health | Not listed: Health, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Health, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Health, Sep 11 remarks | Settled yes: Health, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Health, Sep 15 remarks | Settled yes: Health, Sep 16 remarks | Settled no: Health, Oct 7 remarks | Settled yes: Health, Oct 8 remarks | 1 time: Health, Oct 14 remarks, counts as said | 4 times: Health, Oct 20 remarks, counts as said | 5/683% | 5/956% | 54%n=9 from settlement history |
| Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit | Settled yes: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Sep 4 remarks | Settled no: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit, Oct 20 remarks | 1/250% | 1/911% | 21%n=9 from settlement history |
| Subway / MTA | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Subway / MTA, Oct 20 remarks | – | 1/911% | 26%n=9 from settlement history |
| Bus / Fast & Freenever said | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Bus / Fast & Free, Oct 20 remarks | – | 0/90% | 14%n=9 from settlement history |
| NYPD / FDNY | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: NYPD / FDNY, Oct 20 remarks | – | 6/875% | 58%n=8 from settlement history |
| Working Class / Middle Class | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 20 remarks | – | 4/850% | 44%n=8 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: Election, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: Election, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: Election, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: Election, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: Election, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: Election, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: Election, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: Election, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: Election, Oct 20 remarks | – | 3/838% | 30%n=8 from settlement history |
| BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expresswaynever said | Settled no: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Sep 4 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Sep 10 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Sep 11 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Sep 14 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Sep 15 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Sep 16 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Oct 7 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Oct 8 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Oct 14 remarks | Not listed: BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, Oct 20 remarks | 0/10% | 0/80% | 12%n=8 from settlement history |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 993 of 1,050 settled words resolved (94.6%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during next live announcement? | Official transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Oct 14, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during next live announcement? | Official transcript | 14 | 9 yes · 5 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Oct 8, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during next live announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | – |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during next live announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during next live announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | – |
| Sep 15, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during his announcement? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during next live announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 10 yes · 4 no | – |
| Sep 11, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during his announcement? | no transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during his announcement? | no transcript | 13 | 0 yes · 13 no | – |
| Sep 4, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during his announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
| Sep 3, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during his announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
| Sep 2, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mamdani say during his announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 3 yes · 11 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/zohran-mamdani · words: /api/v1/history?entity=zohran-mamdani · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP