Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, May 12, 2026
In remarks on May 12, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 9 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 58 | 63 | ✓ | 53%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 17 | 20 | ✓ | 51%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 64%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 44%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 43%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 7 | 8 | ✓ | 65%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 45%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Hantavirus | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Drug / Addiction | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=24 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…morning. Twelve weeks ago today, we presented New Yorkers with our preliminary budget. It reflected a straightforward reality. New York City was reckoning with a…
…burdens that Andrew Cuomo shifted to the city over his decade as governor; and we taxed the rich, asking those with the most to contribute…
…with ambition, and where the most expensive city in the nation is affordable for the working people who build it every single day. When that…
…balance both ambition and fiscal responsibility. One that can invest in housing, childcare, libraries, parks, schools and climate resiliency, while also cutting waste and finding…
…we landed on the specifics of the executive budget, starting with the crisis we inherited. The budget deficit was staggering. Here's what Comptroller Levine had…
…we can improve our children's literacy and math skills K-12. We are also continuing to fund City Hall's top priority: keeping every New Yorker safe.
…invest more than $47 million annually to improve New Yorkers' access to mental health care. And as we all follow the Hantavirus outbreak, we are…
From the NYPD to DCWP, we are saving $28 million by modernizing technology and reducing costs for software licenses. From OTI to DSNY, we are…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-05-12:remarks-a28e8a · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-05-12:remarks-a28e8a · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP