Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Jun 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during The 11th Hour with Ali Velshi?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 67%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 56%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 45%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gen Z | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Haitian / Dominican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Progressive | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Young / Youth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist / DSA | No | 36%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 35%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 11%n=44 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN22B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP