Zohran Mamdani: Speech, Apr 12, 2026

Mayor Mamdani Delivers 100 Day Address

In the speech on Apr 12, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 17 of the 20 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 20 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

20 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 20 of 20

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Socialist / Socialism Yes1617✓35%n=12 from settlement history–
Pothole Yes99✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes711✓53%n=48 from settlement history–
Childcare Yes66✓32%n=8 from settlement history–
Budget / Deficit Yes55✓52%n=19 from settlement history–
Grocery Yes57✓51%n=12 from settlement history–
Five Borough Yes44✓58%n=20 from settlement history–
Governor / Hochul Yes44✓45%n=52 from settlement history–
Crisis Yes46✓36%n=25 from settlement history–
Junk / Fee Yes33✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Snow / Snowfall Yes33✓51%n=14 from settlement history–
Mental Health Yes22✓55%n=4 from settlement history–
Landlord Yes22✓34%n=7 from settlement history–
World Cup Yes11✓40%n=3 from settlement history–
New Era Yes11✓39%n=16 from settlement history–
NYPD Yes11✓32%n=50 from settlement history–
Free Bus / Fast & Free Yes11✓22%n=19 from settlement history–
Billionaire 2+ timesNo01✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No00✓26%n=29 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian No00✓16%n=11 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Official transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.

Where the listed words were said

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Socialist / Socialism” · prepared

…city. Others warned that the left could debate but could never deliver. Socialists might be able to win a campaign, they said, but we could…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Pothole” · prepared

…why, since January 1, New York City has filled more than 102,000 potholes — including 22,800 in just three days alone. From Pelham to Tompkinsville,…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Afford / Affordable / Affordability” · prepared

…on child care. She dreamed of having another kid, but she couldn’t afford it. When we announced universal childcare, she said it finally felt possible.…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Childcare” · prepared

…we can do in four years. We began with a promise: universal child care. And by Day 8, we delivered it. Thanks to a historic…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Budget / Deficit” · prepared

Throughout every day of this work, we have contended with a historic budget deficit larger than even that of the Great Recession. Unlike those who…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Grocery” · prepared

…for New Yorkers to put food on the table. Since the pandemic, grocery prices have gone up, and they haven’t come back down. We feel…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Five Borough” · prepared

…era. The world watched, wondering if change could really come. Across the five boroughs, New Yorkers waited to see if a City Hall powered by…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Governor / Hochul” · qa

Together with Governor Hochul, we will speed up buses by up to 20 percent along 45 priority corridors. We will significantly increase the number of…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Crisis” · prepared

We’re taking on the biggest driver of the affordability crisis in our city: housing. We’re going after the bad landlords who violate our laws and…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Junk / Fee” · prepared

And throughout it all, we have taken on the junk fees and subscription traps that afflict far too many New Yorkers. No longer can someone…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Snow / Snowfall” · prepared

…And when our city was blanketed by winter storms, when mountains of snow piled up on our streets, we brought pothole politics to emergency response.…

Zohran Mamdanispeaker“Mental Health” · prepared

…City’s first ever Office of Community Safety. It will devise new approaches to the gun violence and mental health crises that stretch across our city.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-04-12:speech-9c86b0 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-04-12:speech-9c86b0 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP