Zohran Mamdani: Speech, Apr 12, 2026
In the speech on Apr 12, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 17 of the 20 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 20 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
20 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 20 of 20- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 16 | 17 | ✓ | 35%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Pothole | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 7 | 11 | ✓ | 53%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 52%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 51%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 58%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 45%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 36%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Junk / Fee | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Snow / Snowfall | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 51%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 39%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 32%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 22%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 2+ times | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…city. Others warned that the left could debate but could never deliver. Socialists might be able to win a campaign, they said, but we could…
…why, since January 1, New York City has filled more than 102,000 potholes — including 22,800 in just three days alone. From Pelham to Tompkinsville,…
…on child care. She dreamed of having another kid, but she couldn’t afford it. When we announced universal childcare, she said it finally felt possible.…
…we can do in four years. We began with a promise: universal child care. And by Day 8, we delivered it. Thanks to a historic…
Throughout every day of this work, we have contended with a historic budget deficit larger than even that of the Great Recession. Unlike those who…
…for New Yorkers to put food on the table. Since the pandemic, grocery prices have gone up, and they haven’t come back down. We feel…
…era. The world watched, wondering if change could really come. Across the five boroughs, New Yorkers waited to see if a City Hall powered by…
Together with Governor Hochul, we will speed up buses by up to 20 percent along 45 priority corridors. We will significantly increase the number of…
We’re taking on the biggest driver of the affordability crisis in our city: housing. We’re going after the bad landlords who violate our laws and…
And throughout it all, we have taken on the junk fees and subscription traps that afflict far too many New Yorkers. No longer can someone…
…And when our city was blanketed by winter storms, when mountains of snow piled up on our streets, we brought pothole politics to emergency response.…
…City’s first ever Office of Community Safety. It will devise new approaches to the gun violence and mental health crises that stretch across our city.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-04-12:speech-9c86b0 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-04-12:speech-9c86b0 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP