Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 14, 2026
In remarks on Jan 14, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 7 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 10 | 14 | ✓ | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 69%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 57%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 5 | ✓ | 29%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 24%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Working People / Working Class | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / MTA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crisis | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…well as other members of my team, traveled up to Albany for Governor Hochul's State of the State Address, and I hope that many families…
…various different schools that she liked that were close to both her home as well as potentially close to her job. And we want to…
…careers and pursue neighborhoods as they grow stronger and more equitable, more affordable, and we want a more hopeful New York. I'm thrilled to share…
…Thousands of empty seats, especially in the parts of the city with higher numbers of immigrant and low-income families who stood to benefit the most.
…do not know what they can expect from their city and what safety that they have. And our job is to make it as clear…
I reached out to President Trump. We haven't yet connected.
Those are policies that ensure that ICE agents are not allowed to enter into a school property or a New York City property or even…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-14:remarks-20f5e3 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-14:remarks-20f5e3 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP