Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, Jun 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Press Conference?
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 61%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| New Jersey | Yes | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 51%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Library | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 34%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 22%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 65%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 52%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 51%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Horse | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Landlord | No | 44%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 40%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 15%n=24 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP