Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?
Markets
13 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 76%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Inside / Indoors | Yes | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | Yes | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | Yes | 35%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 25%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 19%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 60%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Plow / Plowing | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 22%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26FEB21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP