Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Pride Event?
Markets
15 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 69%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 63%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 57%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Taylor Brown | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trans / Transgender | Yes | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 75%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 50%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 50%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 39%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Discriminate / Discriminated / Discrimination | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rainbow | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NYPD | No | 37%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 20%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 15%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 9%n=37 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP