Zohran Mamdani: Episode, Jun 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during This Week with George Stephanopoulos?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 54%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 48%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballot | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Socialism / Socialist / DSA | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Grocery | Yes | 22%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 45%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Progressive | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Young / Youth | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Freeze / Freezing | No | 24%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 9%n=48 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP