Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 77%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 57%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Inside / Indoors | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NYPD / FDNY | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Remote | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 43%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Snow Day | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 32%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 29%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 23%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 22%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26FEB19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP