Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Sep 4, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 69%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 54%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 39%n=109 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 31%n=120 from settlement history | – |
| Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit | Yes | 14%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 68%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 38%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 27%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 23%n=116 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord / Tenant | No | 21%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 15%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway | No | 14%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 14%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=79 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26SEP04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP