Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, May 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
17 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 66%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 53%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 47%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Literacy / Read / Reading | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 67%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Teacher | No | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Education | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 47%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 47%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Hantavirus | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 44%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 39%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 30%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 24%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 23%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 15%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY13B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP