The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, May 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
16 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crisis | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Childcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rent / Rental / Landlord | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Muslim / Islam / Islamic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud / Junk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| COGE / DOGE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 49%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grocery | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire | No | 16%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26MAY28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP