Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Oct 7, 2026
Polymarket What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Family | Yes | 62%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| School | Yes | 62%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 53%n=130 from settlement history | – |
| Community | Yes | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 76%n=91 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 51%n=118 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 43%n=129 from settlement history | – |
| Health | No | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 34%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 33%n=125 from settlement history | – |
| Heat / Weather | No | 27%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Budget | No | 22%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 21%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 8%n=88 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mamdani-say-during-next-live-announcement-20261005 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP