Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, Jan 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Press Conference?
Markets
13 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 64%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Working People / Working Class | Yes | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 56%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 52%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 40%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 40%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 38%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 37%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 32%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / MTA | No | 25%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP