Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Sep 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 69%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 45%n=113 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 39%n=124 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 19%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | No | 59%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 57%n=125 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico / Mexican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 35%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare / Child Care | No | 31%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 31%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 24%n=120 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 22%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=83 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26SEP15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP