Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 74%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 61%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Snow / Storm | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare / Childcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 37%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 30%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 27%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 25%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 25%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26FEB16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP