Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 72%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Snow / Storm | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 47%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 23%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 34%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Blizzard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crisis | No | 28%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 26%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Rat | No | 23%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 23%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26FEB17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP