Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, May 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 70%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 69%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 65%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 54%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 52%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | Yes | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 34%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 40%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 30%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 24%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 22%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 12%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 10%n=33 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP