Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 75%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 69%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | No | 59%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 57%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 55%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 50%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 42%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 37%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 36%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 23%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 19%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 15%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 9%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 9%n=37 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN09B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP