Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Apr 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Consumer Protection Announcement?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fee / Scam | Yes | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 44%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 38%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 29%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud / Fraudulent | Yes | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 58%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 54%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Junk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Housing | No | 46%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 36%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 20%n=28 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26APR08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP