Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 6, 2026
Kalshi What will Zohran Mamdani say during the congestion pricing celebration?
Markets
13 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Traffic / Noise | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 65%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast and Free | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bike / E-Bike / Moped | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crisis | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revenue | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Safe / Safety / Safer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tunnel / Bridge | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Subway | No | 24%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP