Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, May 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
17 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 68%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 65%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 61%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | Yes | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 50%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | Yes | 45%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | Yes | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 39%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Landlord | Yes | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks / Mets / Yankees | Yes | 27%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ripoff / Rip Off | Yes | 23%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 37%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 35%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 30%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 27%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 14%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 11%n=31 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP