Will Zohran Mamdani say “Budget / Deficit”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Budget / Deficit” at 32 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (48%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=67, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. No keynotes among them yet.

37%from settlement history only · n=67Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
41¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=budget%20%2F%20deficit

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Budget / Deficit

Probability
37% · n=67
Settled
32/67 (48%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

QuestionreporterMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…you're putting several million dollars into this effort right now. The NYPD budget is $6 billion-some. Do you see — is your whole administration on…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

And then the budget will be a time when we can explore all of the different ways to get to that end goal. But for…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…more than a year to access funds that they've already been promised, all while they are already struggling to make ends meet on razor-thin budgets.

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 7, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Aug 6, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
Aug 5, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes1
Jul 28, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
Jul 25, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jul 22, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
Jul 21, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jul 17, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jul 15, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jul 14, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jul 13, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jul 10, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jul 6, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jul 2, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jun 29, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
Jun 27, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes1
Jun 26, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jun 15, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jun 13, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jun 12, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jun 11, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes1
Jun 9, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Jun 6, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jun 5, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Jun 4, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
May 29, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
May 28, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
May 27, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
May 20, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes1
May 19, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes3
May 13, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
May 12, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes58
May 8, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
May 5, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Apr 30, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes1
Apr 29, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes9
Apr 25, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes2
Apr 23, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes1
Apr 22, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Apr 20, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Apr 19, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
Apr 16, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Apr 12, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes5
Apr 2, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Apr 1, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes20
Mar 31, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo–
Mar 26, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes4
Mar 25, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes7
Mar 24, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes3
Mar 12, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
Mar 6, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Feb 19, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes11
Feb 18, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiYes–
Feb 6, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0
Feb 5, 2026Budget / DeficitKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Budget / Deficit”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Budget / Deficit” at 32 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (48%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Budget / Deficit” next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=67). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Budget / Deficit’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/budget-or-deficit (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=budget%20%2F%20deficit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP