Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jun 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 77%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 44%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 60%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 49%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 41%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 31%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 30%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 27%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Albany | No | 20%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | 9%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 7%n=46 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JUN26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP