Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Aug 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 74%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 58%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 70%n=107 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 46%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 43%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 40%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 37%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 32%n=106 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 29%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 23%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Jew / Jewish | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 15%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 12%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=66 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26AUG07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP